Duke (9-2) beat Wake Forest 28-21 to improve to 5-2 in league play and can win the Coastal Division outright with a victory at rival North Carolina next week. Since starting 1-5, the Tar Heels (6-5, 4-3 ACC) have become bowl eligible after winning five straight, including an 80-20 rout of Old Dominion.
If the Blue Devils lose to North Carolina, it opens up the possibility that the Hokies (7-4, 4-3 ACC) could sneak into the ACC title game with a win against Virginia. That would guarantee Virginia Tech to be in a tiebreaker with either Duke, Georgia Tech and North Carolina or Duke, Georgia Tech, North Carolina and Miami. In either scenario, the Hokies would advance.
If it’s Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech (7-4, 5-3 ACC), Duke and North Carolina all at 5-3, both the Hokies and Yellow Jackets would be 2-1 against the other three, while the Blue Devils and Tar Heels would be 1-2. Based on Virginia Tech’s head-to-head win against Georgia Tech, the Hokies would advance to play Florida State in the ACC championship game in Charlotte on Dec. 7.
If it’s a five-way tie with Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech, Duke, North Carolina and Miami (8-3, 4-3 ACC), the Hokies would advance as the only team of the five to have a 3-1 record against the other four.
Miami can still win the division if it beats Pittsburgh, Duke loses to North Carolina and Virginia Tech loses to Virginia.
Georgia Tech can still win the division if Duke loses to North Carolina, Virginia Tech loses to Virginia and Miami loses to Pittsburgh.
North Carolina cannot win the division in any scenario.