There they are, the 9 people who will shortly rule on the constitutionality if the Affordable Care Act, aka “Obamacare.” Their ruling, which may be the most momentous one in many years, is expected any day.
Today, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi predicted they would rule 6-3 in favor of the law.
What do you think? That’s the subject of our latest three-part contest.
I’m trying to keep this one simple, although the court’s ruling may not be so neat. To narrow the focus, we’ll deal only with the individual mandate to buy health insurance, which is the most contentious part of the law.
First, predict whether the court will uphold the individual mandate in the ACA or overturn it. So the first part of this three-part contest is to answer “uphold” or “overturn.”
Second, predict the vote. That should be 5-4, 6-3, 9-0, whatever.
Third, name the justices on each side of the question.
So, if you believe the law will be overturned 5-4, your entry would look like this:
3. Majority: Kennedy, Robert, Thomas, Scalia, Alito. Minority: Breyer, Ginsburg, Kagan, Sotomayer.
I’ll accept entries up until the point the news breaks on the decision.
The winner will get to choose a book from Dan’s Bookshelf, and will assume the title of this blog’s reigning Supreme Court prognosticator.
Happy guessing, folks!