The polls! The polls! and Unskewedpolls.com — Oct. 2, 2012
Advantage: Obama by 3.2
We are only 5 weeks out from the big day, when Mitt Romney hopes to capture the White House and help the Koch Bros. realize their dream of turning back America’s clock to the greatest era of all — the days of the late 19th=-century robber barons.
Alas, the Mittster’s chances are looking only a bit less dim than they were last week, when they were appearing increasingly glum. Rumor has it that Charles and David Koch are grinding down their molars in restless slumbers. They’re looking at $100 million down the drain, after all.
Casino magnate Sheldon Adelson, meanwhile, who used to be Newt Gingrich’s political sugar daddy, has now gone all-in on Mitt. If this election was a craps game, Adelson would have $100 million on the “pass” line and at the same time be mortally afraid the next shooter would roll snake eyes.
Adelson’s so frantic he’s phoning Benny Netanyahu every hour, demanding Israel bomb Iran immediately. The only path he can see to a Romney victory is if the world blows up first.
You can can understand the cause for these concerns. It’s right there in the polls, particularly the polling average on Real Clear Politics. One week ago, Obama was ahead by 3.7 points according to that average. It grew steadily during last week, to 4.1 on Sunday. Monday, the RCP average settled back to 3.2 by today.
Even worse for Romney are the numbers in the swing states, where this election will actually be decided. Consider Ohio. A poll there released Sunday by the Columbus Distpatch puts Obama ahead by 9 points. It was fifth poll in a row that put Obama ahead by at least 5 points in the Buckeye state. All of those were outside the margin of error. It’s highly unlikely Romney can win the election without Ohio.
Nevertheless, as my good buddy Terps pointed out last week, hope ain’t lost. No siree! He and certain other RWers have jubilantly discovered Unskewedpolls.com the only polling analysis site in all of the country that shows Romney leading, (as of this morning) by a margin of 4.2 percentage points (down from a 7.8-point “unskewed” lead last Tuesday). Most Republicans who can do two-digit multiplication and division believe this is complete BS. Still, that leaves 110 million or so American voters who consider it credible.
Dean Chambers | Facebook
Unskewedpolls.com is run by Dean Chambers, a conservative from Duffield, Va. The tiny out-in-the-sticks hamlet, pop. 91, is about 15 miles northwest of Gate City, Va. And where the hell is that? Gate City is 25 miles or so west-southwest of Abingdon, which is about 125 miles south of Roanoke on Interstate 81.
And who is Chambers? He’s a conservative internet journalist on Examiner.com and some other right-wing websites. According to his Facebook page, he’s a fan of the Tea Party Patriots and The Heritage Foundation. He opposes public-sector unions. Here’s his self-description:
Dean Chambers, an Internet journalist and commentator, launched his writing career by creating an alternative conservative student newspaper while in college. Dean grew up in what James A. Baker called “the Peoples Republic of Massachusetts” and has experienced first-hand the fruits of progressive public policy.
Like when Romney was governor of Massachusetts, right? Ha, just kidding!
Chambers has written many articles, like “Obama Economics is Crushing the Middle Class,“ and others that have mostly existed in relative obscurity. What has recent drawn attention to him, however, are his repeated admonitions to the political class that Romney actually has a is leading Obama president.
The problem as Chambers sees it is that all the major polls out there are horribly out of whack in Obama’s favor. He claims they improperly oversample Democrats — i.e. they count too many Dems and too few Republicans.. So Chambers re-weights the polls on Unskewedpolls.com to make the samples more even-steven. Mitt is not in deep you-know-what after Chambers works his magic with the numbers.
If the election was today, Chambers predicts, Romney would take 317 electoral votes to Obama’s 179. Chambers puts Virginia, Ohio, Colorado, Nevada, Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan in New Hampshire in Romney’s column. Chambers’ “swing” states are New Mexico, Oregon, Pennsylvania and Minnesota. He says Massachusetts is “leaning” toward Obama. Come on!
Perhaps he’s correct and Romney is way ahead. Perhaps we need Chambers’ volunteer smarts in polling analysis to cut through the clumsy mistakes of professional pollsters who have relatively good track records and have been doing this work for years. They aren’t buying it, however. Consider what Public Policy Polling’s Tom Jensen told Talking Points Memo last week:
“We don’t have any preconceived notions about the party breakdown of a poll before we conduct it. The only things we make any adjustments for are gender, race, and age. It makes sense that as support for Obama increases, more people also identify themselves as Democrats. I know conservatives want to think it’s more Democrats in the poll causing Obama to do better, but it’s actually Obama doing better causing more Democrats in the poll.”
“The reality is that (Republicans are) losing, they can’t accept it, and they’re going to find some reason to dismiss every poll that makes them unhappy no matter what its composition is,” Jensen added. “This isn’t really about Party ID, it’s about hardcore denial.”
We shall find out whether Chambers was right all along in 5 weeks, unless the election is real close, like the 2000 contest was. Then it might take longer.
But I wouldn’t bet on that. And no matter how much Terps wishes to believe Chambers is right, Terps won’t bet on it, either. So far, he’s refused to accept my offer to get down a lunch wager with a handicap based on Chambers’ predictions, but still tilted slightly in Romney’s favor.
I wonder if Chambers would?
October 2, 2012 - 8:00 AM
“This isn’t really about Party ID, it’s about hardcore denial.”
That’s pretty much the lowest common denominator with the current right. To illustrate, witness suz’s insistence for the last year that the election was going to be a “landslide” and Frank’s eternal battle with reality where he insists Wisconsin is still somehow in play with President Obama up currently 6.7 and Baldwin up 5.2 points over the old gimp Thompson.
Things you can measure, quantify, assess or accurately predict mean nothing to these clowns; with them it’s all about “Hope and change” and other nebulas and pointless concepts that are rooted in fantasy. They’re pretty much preaching the voting equivalent of “abstinence only” sex education. ‘Course, their obstinance will be their downfall when I get to make them both my virtual slap monkeys starting on Nov 7th and mock them insistently.
Votes? Oh. Still polls. Speculation is garbage.
They want their own news (Fox), their own TV station (Blaze), their own newspaper (Washington Times) their own online encyclopedia (Conservapedia), their own crazy Web site (cnsnews.com) and, and, and . . .
. . . they want their own POLLS, too, darn it. That’s right, POLLS!
SWoon they’ll be demanding Ayn Rand’s birthday be a national holiday. We’re heading quickly for the intellectual segregation of society.
#3 Hmm, this is sounding vaguely like the old South.
I know some will reject this site because it’s hosted at the NY Times but these guys do a real good job of political forecasting.
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
This is just a lie, people.
http://www.politico.com/blogs/under-the-radar/2012/10/a-pollster-under-oath-137100.html
hey little stevie c, thanks for bringing up Wisconsin, again!
When will you be ‘splainin why you union-loving libs got your butts kicked in Wisconsin during the last five state-wide elections? eh?
And, so’s ya can get another big gulp of your own putrid, rank bile, whacha think about ol’ dano’s comment in his article above which reads thusly, “One week ago”, Dear Leader “was ahead 3.7 points according to the RCP average. It grew steadily (those are dano’s words referring to Dera Leader’s lead in the polls, J.M….) during last week, to 4.1 on Sunday. Monday, the RCP average settled back to 3.2 by today”.
Anything in the tragectory grab your pea brain’s attention, stevie c? How about the part where, according to dano’s numbers, 22% of Dear Leader’s “lead” on Sunday (2 days ago…), simply…. evaporated….as of yesterday, which was yesterday, and is the very next day following Sunday…. That’s a big “Poof”, as some say.
How’s it taste little stevie c…kinda like cheddar? HeHe!
Uptheriver has the goods. Democrat admits to cooking polls:
http://www.politico.com/blogs/under-the-radar/2012/10/a-pollster-under-oath-137100.html
Bad timing, Dan.
Ole Barry secured himself another supporter. Hugo Chavez! Doesn’t that make you want to do a jig liberals?
Again,Dan, thank you for the picture of Chambers. I didn’t know what he was thinking until I could confirm he was a “white guy.”
To all Military…Go to Heroesvote.org It is your right and your vote WILL be counted.
With regard to the polls, Dan, you are mostly right. Democrats are a little oversampled and the Republicans have a little more enthusiasm this time. But, Obama is winning pretty comfortably.
America has fundamentally changed to a european entitlement state. It is a depressing way to live and we are about 5-7 years behind Greece…but we will get there.
“Again,Dan, thank you for the picture of Chambers. I didn’t know what he was thinking until I could confirm he was a “white guy.”
Terps,
I’d like to hear you suggest the rules this blog should adhere to. No more photos of white guys? white gals? anyone?
#6 & 8 Guys, it’s not like this guy ran polls that he skewed himself. He merely cherrypicked and pushed the most positive polls on campaign workers and out in public. That was his job. It’s also the job of Republican campaign pollsters. They might privately tell their guy the truth, but please point out to me the last time a Repub pollster got out in the media and said, “Hey, here are some really honest polls that show our guy doesn’t have a chance. Just thought you should know.” I’ll wait for your link to that one
And I can remember at the time that it obvious Edwards didn’t have a ghost of a prayer in 2008 no matter what BS his pollster was pushing. It was very obviously either Clinton or Obama.
#7 Frank, buddy, we have the guys with the white jackets on standby for you. Based on your most recent posts, you might need them.
#10 terps, you have a serious problem.
@12 – I said he lied. Polls are garbage, this election is won on one day and one day only. Polls are fantasy politics.
gdad,
Chambers isn’t cherry-picking polls. He says he’s actually reweighting them.
He has looked at a Rasmussen voter identification model, which purports to show that voters identify as X percent Repub and Y percent Dem and compares those percentages to the sample of each poll. Most of those polls, he says, have too many people who self-identify as Dems. So he strips some Dems out until the proportions of the sample are in line with the percentages in the Rasmussen model.
The problem with this is, the pollsters say, party ID is a fluid thing and he’s not accounting for that. Back in 2004 when the Dems were behind some Dems were making exactly the same argument Chambers is not making on behalf of the Repubs. They were wrong then; Chambers is wrong now. It’s wishful thinking taken to the extreme.
#9 Conservative forgot about this part:
“For his part, Obama has maintained a safe distance from Chavez. He has approved of Venezuela’s “fair and free elections” and said the country has not posed a “serious national security impact” on America, but has not gone as far to endorse its leader.”
Perhaps in Terps perfect world, everybody would be blind. Then nobody could see what another’s race was.
They might be able to detect it audibly, however. So we should make everybody deaf, too.
#6 And interesting that the guy in this article considers Zogby a bad poll. Rash Limbaugh used to call it the best out there — when it was picking a Repub to win.
Its all about the ECONOMY and it is a TOTAL DISASTER !!!!!!!!!! Thanks alot, obama.
#15 UTR, you don’t see me linking to polls or talking about them much. I don’t put much, if any, faith in them.
hey you poll lovers…dija see the recent Washington Post poll (a “national” poll, of course…) which was based on a polling sample of 161 people? Yep. Think about that. a national poll, conducted by a leading msm institution, based on 161 people.
watchu say, ol’ bobsey twin #2? What’s the mystery behind that one, eh?
#1…..“Vitual slap monkeys“ ?????? Just how old are you, Steve ?
#15—-you are right on. The polls mean absolutely nothing. Usually the liberals try to control them big time as we get close to an election. If they can make you think their candidate is ahead, it will discourage others from voting, like what is the use? We are going to win anyway. But it will be decided on election day so forget the polls or exit polls, they mean nothing. The country wants real change this time and I think they are going to get it. But just in case I am wrong, go ahead and get your guns now while you can; if the liberals pull an upset, you may not be able to defend yourselves.
Pollsters have to include more Democrats because of voter fraud. But winning NY and California by 8% with 90% voting participation in Democrat polls doesn’t make up for losing the southern states by 1%. That’s why the Democrats want to get rid of the electoral college. All they have to do is stuff the ballot boxes in the large cities where no one can watch them and they win.
That’s why Democrats so strongly oppose efforts to stop voter fraud. It’s their bread-and-butter.
The Obama campaign will start stockpiling cash soon to pay off electoral workers and voters with walking around money and poll captain payoffs. You don’t need the voters. You just need the poll captains.
“America has fundamentally changed to a european entitlement state. It is a depressing way to live and we are about 5-7 years behind Greece…but we will get there.”
For more about this subject, make sure you tune into “Mark Around the World” Wednesday morning. Mark will be in Moscow for a high-level business meeting. But his thoughts will be right here.
19.Perhaps in Terps perfect world, everybody would be blind. Then nobody could see what another’s race was.
They might be able to detect it audibly, however. So we should make everybody deaf, too.
No. I learned from your post a few days ago how important it was to know that a “white guy” disagreed with the tea party. Presumably, if the “white guy” was instead black, hispanic or eskimo, he would have no credibility. I guess your point is that blacks and hispanics should hate the tea party because the TP wants to curb government spending.
Is this this the liberal interpretation of Martin Luther King’s dream of a colorblind society? Or are liberals making race relations way worse?
Anyway, taking your lead, I want to know the race of all of the subjects of your articles so I know what their thinking.
Its all about the ECONOMY and it is a TOTAL DISASTER !!!!!!!!!! Thanks alot, obama.
Comment by Jeff Doto — October 2, 2012 @ 10:05 am
How long have you been unemployed Jeff?
“Anyway, taking your lead, I want to know the race of all of the subjects of your articles so I know what their thinking.”
Terps,
OK. You’re one of the subjects mentioned in this blog post.
Next time I mention you, you’re saying that you want me to include your picture, too, right?
Polls give a good representation as to the
general trend over time. No one has said any
of them are right on the money as far as the overall
electorate.
Even Right leaning Rasmussen has Obama with a significant lead.
Again ..not that Rasmussen is any more or less correct than
the others, its a fairly bankable fact that the trend is that Obama is pulling away especially in swing states.
..and of course several of those swing states the Republicans hired this guy..only to pull out of that attempt..and abandon 5 states including Va
in pushing for voter registration. http://video.msnbc.msn.com/martin-bashir/49247261/#49247261
@28 – Ahhh so Mark was just kissing A$$ on Russia. Now I get it. His “attractive” colleagues and “high-level” business, this guy is an adjective lovers dream.
Nate Silver update:
If you give Obama only the states where Silver rates him a 90% or better chance to win, he’s at 234 electoral votes.
Add the states where he’s at 85-89% and you add Ohio, which brings Obama to 252.
80-84% adds Nevada and New Hampshire, bringing Obama’s total to 262.
75-79% brings Colorado, Virginia, and Iowa, putting Obama at 290, way over the 270 needed.
To sum up, Obama need only win every state where Nate Silver gives him an 80% or better chance and then win either Colorado or Virginia. This means that he can lose Florida (Silver puts Obama at a 70.9% chance there), Iowa (76.8%) and either Colorado or Virginia and still win.
#27 You mean like the Republican fraud in Florida. And all those Repub efforts to dampen absentee ballot fraud, which favors Repubs, Henry?
Kendra: No one is coming to get your guns. You’re being laughably foolish. The logistics of such an undertaking would make it impractical. It couldn’t be pulled off if the country was in pristine financial shape and you think they can do it now?
I really wish the right wing would shut up about this; they do it every time a Democrat is looking like they’ll win. No government is going to do something that would instantly mobilize an army against them that’s 50 million strong! No one! Check the actual numbers of gun-owning households. The only thing raising such a cry does is expose the fearful, glaring ignorance of their base.
They think you’re stupid, Kendra, and they KNOW you’re scared. They manipulate you with fear of impossible things. The second amendment is safe and will be until long after you and I have turned to dust.
Good grief! How can people live their lives in fear like this?
The polls are all a big conspiracy according to the right wingers like Gingrich, Eric Ericson & Ann Coulter. But listen to them months ago:
“This is Gingrich who predicted during last spring’s primaries, when he was still a candidate, that Romney was a “dead loser” who had no hope of defeating Obama. Last March he described the man who defeated him as the party’s weakest candidate since 1920.”
Erick Erickson was forthright in his fervent support for Santorum and in his bluntly stated conviction that Romney could not possibly defeat Obama.
As far back as November 2011, he wrote a long post ventilating his worst fears. The ominous headline said it all – “Mitt Romney as the Nominee: Conservatism Dies and Barack Obama Wins.”
Erickson certainly deserves credit for his lack of illusions. In that same post, he predicted both whom his party would nominate and what that would portend. “Mitt Romney is going to be the Republican nominee,” wrote the Redstate editor. “And his general election campaign will be an utter disaster for conservatives as he takes the GOP down with him and burns up what it means to be a conservative in the process.”
1 last tidbit from Mr. Erickson:
Erickson knew why Romney would lose, too, describing him as “a man devoid of any principles other than getting himself elected. As much as the American public does not like Barack Obama, they loath [sic] a man so fueled with ambition that he will say or do anything to get himself elected. Mitt Romney is that man.” Moreover, wrote Erickson, the public would see Romney as “a multi-millionaire scion of the Rockefeller Wing of the Republican Party whose closest encounters with the common man are accidentally touching one of the many hired hands in one of the many rooms of one of his many mansions.”
Last but not least is Ms. Ann Coulter.
Coulter, perhaps the very first of her ilk to warn that Mitt meant disaster. When she spoke at the Conservative Political Action Committee convention in Washington, D.C., back in February 2011, a fan in the audience asked her view of the Republican 2012 hopefuls.
The blunt blonde did not hesitate: “I may as well tell you what my prediction is…Well, I’ll put it in a nutshell. If you don’t run Chris Christie, Romney will be the nominee and we’ll lose.” Wild applause and cheers broke out, and Ann looked very pleased with herself.
But the polls are just a big conspiracy to keep Republican voters away from the polls on election day, by convincing them Gov. Romney can’t win. What a big steaming pile of …!!!
#26 Explain to us how the government will confiscate 300 million guns, Kendra. Wait, let me get the popcorn before you start.
You don’t have to believe the polls, just watch the money jump the sinking ship. Or watch the Congressional candidates separate from Romney. It started when Pawlenty jumped ship and has been picking up steam ever since.
You can also look at the desperation comments coming from the Tea Party. Mitt’s last gasp is to hope there is a big gaff by the Democrats.
31)Terps,
OK. You’re one of the subjects mentioned in this blog post.
Next time I mention you, you’re saying that you want me to include your picture, too, right?
No! Just tell that I am a “white guy” so that everyone knows that I think like all “white guys” except for your Roanoke County buddy who wants more government spending.
For more about this subject, make sure you tune into “Mark Around the World” Wednesday morning. Mark will be in Moscow for a high-level business meeting. But his thoughts will be right here.
OMG
I can’t wait for another history lesson from Mark the historian reporting from his beloved Russia. Does he have a “5 year plan” for America? I still haven’t gotten over the Russian/Indian lovefest. This should be great.
“But the polls are just a big conspiracy to keep Republican voters away from the polls on election day, by convincing them Gov. Romney can’t win.”
Ron May, that’s the job of the media, not polls. Polls are just the tools for them to use and decide which articles are fit to print. Come on, it’s election season, gotta bring in the ad revenue to support the next three years.
hey Terps, you’ve got’em going, good for you! libs to see love to see black and brown, not so much with the white. yeah boy, white is a baaadddd thing!
Kendra apparently swallows every RW crack ball email meme as fact.
Terps, I admire your fortitude in trying to claim republicans feel “enthusiasm” regarding Romney. It seems unlikely.
#43 Oh look, Frank’s also got a hangup about the whole “color” thingy.
hey bt#2, just channeling dano. by the way, what color is your “I hate me” shirt?
hey ol’ bt#2, whacha think about the stuff that spanish language television station…Univision?…, is spreading about our Dear Leader? Ever hear of Dear Leader’s DOJ’s Fast and Furious program? No? Well, just check out “Univision, Fast and Furious”! It’ll make you puke.
no, no, not the massacres committed…., I mean the fact that what Univision is now reporting is the SAME STUFF that RWer talk radio and Fox News has been talking about for months now….I think THAT’S the part that will make YOU puke.
I honestly see the conservative politicians as more a threat to gun ownership…they have proven they don’t think much of civil liberties through repeated abuses of them at the highest levels, so why stop there? That said, it doesn’t matter whomever might attempt it, they’re going to have a hell of a time getting people to comply…
Wasn’t it Warren who predicted the wingnut excuses for losing the election? Spot on, the apology tour has begun.
@48 – Hate to break it to you Art, but it’s only October 2. Don’t get caught celebrating too early.
“…the apology tour has begun.”
Yep, just follow Dear Leader’s foreign policy mantra of the last four years.
The RW mantra about Obama taking everyone’s guns is laughable. One of the RW BS emails I get on a daily basis said that Soros now owns one the major firearms companies and bought it to shut it down. I fact checked this ridiculous claim and saw where the NRA said the claim was false. I sent that to my RW friend and he had the decency to send my proof to everyone on the email distribution.
Another friend started spouting the Obama will take your guns away crap. I asked him to name ONE instance where Obama has proposed anything restricting gun rights. After a minute of silence, he said that Obama was saving that for his 2nd term….it’s hard to reason with someone who has been drinking the Tea.
Bill Perdue,
Is your friend’s name Randy?
Dan
With all these great poll numbers for Obama, what’s going to be The Spin if Obama loses in November?
Dan, no my friend isn’t Randy…lol
#53 Tons of secret cash pumped in by right-wing groups. And it’s not a “spin.”
Dan, Re: “intellectual segregation of society”
I believe obama has already accomplished that feat. The myopic left is segregated into the “obamaphone” obots and the elitist obots; while the right holds business (ie employers) and those who are trying to make something of their lives in the USA.
J.M. re: 10:50
Could you not use the same argument about liberals saying republicans “wanting to govern your female parts” or “throwing grandma off the cliff” or “take away your right to vote”???
Integrity check…
Mike O…good comments above, Well put.
“I believe obama has already accomplished that feat. “
Yes, but we all know your grip on reality is tenuous at best.
J.M. re: 10:50
Could you not use the same argument about liberals saying republicans “wanting to govern your female parts” or “throwing grandma off the cliff” or “take away your right to vote”???
Integrity check…
Absolutely, mike O. You won’t catch me saying those things, either. The fear-mongering comes from both sides and I wouldn’t try to assert otherwise. That is, of course, unless concrete evidence came out on any of these allegations that we’re discussing. Then I’d be right there condemning it.
To be fair, the “taking away our guns” thing is so far out there as to be impossible. They said the exact same thing about Clinton before his reelection. “He’s just waiting for his second term.” As if that would make some kind of difference. There is zero chance of it ever happening. ZERO. Our armed forces don’t even have a contingency plan for fighting a 50 million-person militia. Do you think the majority of our troops would even fire upon fellow American citizens? Come on.
American politics is a cesspool. I simply cannot wait until this election is over and done. There are citizens who are absolutely terrified of our candidates. Not because they are actually evil men, mind you, but because the people are bombarded with fear-inducing propaganda, 24/7. The people in power want us scared. It’s one of the easiest ways to control a population. It works like a charm for religion; why wouldn’t governments use it, too?
Did I pass?
The right’s problem isn’t that the polls are wrong. It’s that they’re not. And we all know that if ever, one day, Rmoney was up by .01% they’d be crowing like fools.
mikeo, Obama might indeed have “segregated” society. It’s a lot easier to spot the morons these days. We owe him for that.
Something’s not adding up: The polls have Romney leading by 18% in “voter enthusiasm” and he leads among independents according most of the polling organizations in swing states Ohio and Florida. In addition, the pollsters agree there are equal numbers of Democrats vs. Republicans. (Rasmussen says there are 2% more Republicans while Gallup says 2% more Democrats).
So my question is how the hell is it possible for Idiot Boy to be leading in those states?
Short answer: It’s not and he’s not.
liberal ad saying republicans “wanting to govern your female parts”
That is the most sexist piece of trash I’ve ever seen in an ad. It is the LEFT who are the misogynists. 0bama thinks we can be reduced to our body parts. Where are the feminazis at NOW? Where are the leftwing crones from The View?
Leftwingers hate women. And children. It’s as simple as that.
Suzie, it is well documented that you are a sad caricature; you cannot be reduced any further. You are the one who has been proven to hate women, Christians, the military, veterans, the disabled or anyone else who does not toe your line. Your desperate whining is proof of the trouble your Plutocrat candidate is in.
You are the one who has been proven to hate women, Christians, the military, veterans, the disabled
It’s a shame you feel you have to make up lies just because I disagree with your hateful anti-child anti-woman anti-Christian agenda. it’s dreadful that you would try to project your hate onto others’ views.
“…the right holds business… and those trying to make something of their lives in the US”
Hogwash….read Cabell Brands editorial in the paper today. I’d say he is a very public and local example of a business owner that disproves this BS.
I’m so tired of RWers thinking they have a monopoly on business owners, patriotism, the moral high road, etc etc. They need to stop drinking that Ayn Rand tea!!
Ole Dan wouldn’t have posted this guy’s pic if he didn’t look like Louie Anderson’s first cousin. Then he goes on to paint him as a bumpkin from Bumpkinville. I was surprised he didn’t say he had been spotted at Golden Corral on more than one occasion. Funny stuff
“#53 Tons of secret cash pumped in by right-wing groups. And it’s not a “spin.””
What about all the cash pumped in by left wing groups? Will that ensure an Obama victory?
#68 The secret right-wing groups have FAAAR outspent those on the left, Henry.
The Polls! The Polls!
http://news.yahoo.com/pew-romney-leads-4-post-debate-survey-200329539–politics.html
We take this one step further at http://www.insidepolling.com where the polls are re-weighted to historical exit polling data levels for 2004, 2008 and 2010. There are also other models, swing state re-weighted polls and electoral projections. This allows the reader to remove the bias of the polls and replace it with their view of the current electorate by party. The array of scenarios help define the paths to victory for the candidates.