It’s been a big week for Mitt Romney. His Energizer Bunny performance in Wednesday’s debate, which he won on style though not on facts, has buoyed his campaign. What was looking almost like a runaway re-election for President Obama now appears to be a much tighter race.
As a result, Republicans are understandably doing cartwheels. The more exuberant of them are acting like sharks in bloody seawater. The Mittster must be feeling a little bit like a high school sophomore on his first date, after the girl has blabbed she’s on the pill.
As of this morning, the Real Clear Politics polling average had Obama ahead by 0.5. That means it appears his lead has shrunk by 2.7 percentage points in a week.
On the other hand, Romney’s alleged “lead,” according to Unskewedpolls.com, has slid by an even larger number. Two weeks ago that one-man poll-”correcting” and averaging shop in Duffield, Va. (pop. 91) soothsayed that Mitt was 7.8 points ahead. Now, Unskewedpolls.com says, he’s just 2.5 points ahead. That’s twice as big a slide as Obama’s.
It also puts the race within the margin of error by either average.
There also are signs Romney has improved his position in key swing states, such as our own Virginia, where the RCP polling average has shrunk to Obama by 0.3 points.
Public Policy’s Polling’s most recent poll shows that gap has narrowed to 3 percent, 50 for Obama to 47 percent for Romney. PPP’s previous poll had showed Obama with a 5-point lead, 51 to 46 percent.
On the other hand, there are rays of hope for Obama supporters.
“We’ve been calling Virginia Obama’s firewall state the entire cycle and this is just more evidence for it,” Dean Debnam, president of PPP, said in a statement. “Even after one of his worst weeks of the campaign Obama continues to hold the lead there.”
Another ray of hope is that Romney continues murdering facts and truth just like he did during the debate last week. That’s a risky gambit with a month to go in the campaign, because there’s plenty of time for the truth to emerge and bite back. It is not quite clear whether these at-odds-with-the-facts statements are deliberate distortions and lies, or growing evidence of incompetence.
The most recent instance occurred at Virginia Military Institute on Monday, where during what his campaign billed as a “major foreign policy speech,” Romney incredulously claimed Obama “has not signed one new free trade agreement in the past four years,” and promised to “reverse that failure.”
Will Obama’s apparent razor-thin lead hold? Will Romney continue his remarkable slide on the unabashedly pro-Romney Unskewedpolls.com?
Stay tuned. Our next “The Polls! The Polls! The Polls!” is only a week away.
In the meantime, we’ll have have Thursday’s vice-presidential debate!