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A low of 48 this morning, a rather average high of 77 today and probably another similar temperature range on Sunday will ensure that this month does not go down as the warmest September on record. It will probably rank among the top dozen or so in the 59 years of official weather record-keeping at Roanoke Regional Airport, but won't finish as the hottest.

Warm weather is still expected through most of the next two weeks. Check out the Climate Prediction Center forecast map.

We avoided 90 on Thursday in Roanoke, only reaching 87 -- still a full dozen degrees above normal. Bluefield, W.Va., experienced its fifth consecutive day of record high temperatures, reaching 83 after a week of sweltering late September weather.

The cold front that has moved through will carve some numbers off the thermometer for the next several days. We might even see some nights back in the 40s, certainly the low 50s, with highs eventually falling back into the 70s. The long-term look for the next 2-3 weeks is still warm and dry, though.

As a cold front finally moves out some of this summerlike air this afternoon and evening, it may produce some springlike storms. In fact, a severe thunderstorm watch is in effect just north of our region in parts of West Virginia and central and northern Virginia. See where storms are firing now on National Weather Service-Blacksburg radar.

It was yet another 90-degree day in Roanoke with a record-tying high of 91. That makes 53 days this year at or above 90, and 10 days this month, just one short of the September record. Thursday will have some chance to hit that mark even though it's expected to be just a few degrees cooler.

Blacksburg nearly hit 90. Its high of 89 topped the old record for Sept. 26, 86, set in 1970.

A cold front will bring somewhat cooler weather for the weekend.

Roanoke's high temperature hit 93 degrees today, breaking the old record for the date of 92 set in 1970. It is the 52nd day this year that Roanoke has crossed 90, which is tied for the fourth most on record.

Tropical Storm Karen has formed in the Atlantic east of the Windward Islands. It's probably going to take a turn more out for the open water of the Atlantic, but still too far away to take our eyes off of entirely.

Tropical Storm Jerry, we hardly knew ye. It developed over the weekend way out in the central Atlantic and strutted its hour upon the stage before poofing out in the last 24 hours.

More on the Atlantic tropical season on the National Hurricane Center Web site.

OK, I was wrong when I said the 90s were over earlier this month. Roanoke hit 90 today (Sunday), our 51st day at or above 90 in 2007. It was three degrees below the date's record high of 93 ste in 1970.

Blacksburg's high of 88 set a new record for the date, breaking the old Sept. 23 record of 87 set two years ago.

Expect two or three more days with temperatures in the mid to upper 80s ... possibly low 90s ... before cooler weather moves back in late in the week.

As expected, summerlike warmth has returned. Roanoke hit 89 on Saturday, and we might challenge 90 again the next three or four days, until a new cold front arrives. Fall is gonna struggle to get established. The long summer of 2007 wants to stretch on well into fall.

Tropical Depression 10 has moved ashore over the Florida Panhandle without strengthening into a tropical storm. It will bring some rain to parts of Florida, Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi and Louisiana as it continues moving west-northwest. Many of these areas need the rain, but it's not going to be a drought-buster. We probably won't see any rain from the system.

The tropical storm/hurricane threat is mostly over for the Gulf coast, but forecasters will still keep an eye on the circulation center just in case it drifts back over the water.

As of 1 p.m., the previous subtropical storm in the northeast Gulf of Mexico has obtained tropical characteristics and is known as Tropical Depression 10. Tropical storm warnings are in effect for much of the central Gulf coast, and the system is expected to become Tropical Storm Jerry by the evening. (It would be Karen if a central Atlantic system becomes a tropical storm first)