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Weather Journal

I'm not letting go of Monday-Tuesday storm just yet

My instincts have been not to let go of the Monday-Tuesday snow possibility entirely just yet, and some new computer model runs late tonight have confirmed that. They are showing the possibility that precipitation -- first rain, then snow -- may develop over the area Monday afternoon and evening as upper-level disturbances move through the region on the way to spinning up a potent low-pressure system off the coast to our east that could become a bigger snow maker in the big cities to our northeast. If these models are on to something, it is worth following the next 24-36 hours to see if it might even develop farther south and west. The major obstacle to snow in our region would be the milder air that will build in Sunday and Monday, with highs possibly topping 50. A stronger low pulling in cold air more rapidly could offset that on Monday evening, but with a weaker system, the moisture might move out before the cold air moves in.

It remains something to watch, not something to hype.

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About this blog

    Mug of Kevin Myatt

    Kevin Myatt works on the copy desk for The Roanoke Times and is its principal weather geek, writing a weekly weather column and advising the newsroom on weather topics. He helps guide students on a storm chasing trip to the central U.S. each May and was an editor for "Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States."

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Comments

    • Zach: Jus somethig interesting here, - ridges in Highland County are reporting up to 1″ of snow, with 1-2 more...
    • Other John: I wound up driving through a lot of rain last night on the way back to the area, though thankfully it...
    • Other John: Watching the latest update, it’s up to CAT 2 and the Weather Channel folks are showing the low...
    • Wanda: Wishing you well with your family…Take care.
    • Kevin Myatt: By the way … there were 261 entries in the snowfall prediction contest, 50 more than last year...