Comments on: UPDATE 7:40 PM: High breaks 50 at Roanoke — so is it too warm to snow?

By: Captain Glen Quagmire

Captain Glen Quagmire — Wed, 26 Jan 2011 05:31:24 +0000

If you look at the current conditions metamorphisis is on going. I’m noticing on the SE radar loops that the gulf moisture inlet is starting to subside with WNW winds aloft coming in thur MS to AL. I can’t really tell if the ULL is still moving E or going more ENE-NE now. Gulf low is pretty much gone and new coastal low starting to form off SC Coast. But GFS says party still on. sure, whatever.

By: Kevin Myatt

Kevin Myatt — Wed, 26 Jan 2011 05:28:06 +0000

And (on my new post for the overnight) I just stuck with 3-7 for Roanoke but emphasized expecting the lower part of that range to be more common. That puts us all in the same ballpark.

If anyone around here gets under the stuff showing up near Nashville tonight they could 3 or 4 inches in a couple of hours.

Temperatures are very much on track to be in range to get pulled downward by dynamic cooling when the upper low arrives. Honestly I didn’t expect it to be only 40 at Roanoke Regional by midnight.

By: Captain Glen Quagmire

Captain Glen Quagmire — Wed, 26 Jan 2011 05:26:37 +0000

0Z GFS coming out.

interesting…just when I was thinking about completely busting, it draws me back in.

By: Other John

Other John — Wed, 26 Jan 2011 05:25:05 +0000

Temps here in New River near Radford finally dropped below 40, sitting at 39.8 now. Still light rain, I can hear water coursing through the downspout by the bedroom for the first time since that end of November rainstorm.

By: My Name is Jonas

My Name is Jonas — Wed, 26 Jan 2011 05:15:42 +0000

Yup, looking at the NWS forecast for Roanoke, they are calling for 2-4″(according to the published map)…10 called for 1-4 and 7 called for 1-3 for Roanoke…not too far apart.

By: My Name is Jonas

My Name is Jonas — Wed, 26 Jan 2011 05:09:39 +0000

To Brandon…in defense of the the TV mets. and all who give forecasts on this blog…I am not sure if the NWS really knows what it is forecasting right now…their range is enormous, just for Roanoke! And 13, 10, and 7 all mentioned the WSW and WWA. And their amounts were not too far different from each other and the NWS.

By: Mike

Mike — Wed, 26 Jan 2011 05:08:41 +0000

I can understand your frustration Brandon. Unfortunately this country has no concept of what an alert means anymore. My mom gets upset every time a 24 hr. news channel has a “NEWS ALERT.” The general public would not know want they need to do in the event of a national castrophe.

By: AustinVT

AustinVT — Wed, 26 Jan 2011 05:06:59 +0000

I grew up in the heart of the midwest where, in the spring, the low pressure systems spin up tight and throw off supercells. this sort of a double low pressure set-up is rather unique. im rather interested in this set-up.

By: Brandon Riesenbeck

Brandon Riesenbeck — Wed, 26 Jan 2011 05:00:40 +0000

Back to the weather.

Still holding at 40 in Old Southwest Roanoke. Looks like Clarksville, TN has thunderstorms moving into cold air. Heavy snow there.

Bastardi’s tweet means stay tuned.. models may be underdoing some things with this storm.

By: Hokie John

Hokie John — Wed, 26 Jan 2011 05:00:13 +0000

Driving home, my car thermometer was bouncing between 36 and 39 here in blacksburg not 30 mins ago. Crazy!