Comments on: UPDATE 11:45 PM, 4/18: Significant rainfall continuing today; an even bigger soaking rain likely by weekend

By: Doug Griggs of SW RNKE County, 1420 ft. elevation

Doug Griggs of SW RNKE County, 1420 ft. elevation — Thu, 19 Apr 2012 03:26:47 +0000

Kevin, in response to the last sentence of your 1:17 comment about snow fans wishing this had happened during mid-winter, or 3 months previously. Well, some of us, especially me, wish this would happen three months in the future, in late July, providing a wonderful mid-summer cool spell.

By: Other John

Other John — Thu, 19 Apr 2012 02:42:26 +0000

1.03″ storm total in eastern Pulaski County, New River. A pretty good haul, the grass is quite thankful tonight.

By: Doppler Carol (Floyd Co. Doppler 2546 ft)

Doppler Carol (Floyd Co. Doppler 2546 ft) — Thu, 19 Apr 2012 02:05:47 +0000

Doug Griggs – Thank you for doing your Reverse Snow Dance. Even though I love the snow, this time of the year I love the rain more. I did think of you out there working in the rain and want to let you know that I appreciate you delivering the mail.

By: Michael Hoback

Michael Hoback — Thu, 19 Apr 2012 01:53:09 +0000

Checking in with a cool .80″ of rain here in the Chapel. Garden really appreciated it and if I had not gone to Church tonight, I may have built fire but I will hold off on that till Monday.

By: Jason in Riner

Jason in Riner — Thu, 19 Apr 2012 01:49:38 +0000

We picked up about 1.1 inches of rain in Riner, southwest Montgomery County.

By: Doug Griggs of SW RNKE County, 1420 ft. elevation

Doug Griggs of SW RNKE County, 1420 ft. elevation — Thu, 19 Apr 2012 01:47:48 +0000

Thanks for your thoughts, KM. Wouldn’t it be something if this system were to provide quite a bit of snow for some regions??! That would mean that two of the biggest snowstorms for this snowfall season (cannot call it winter) in the eastern seaboard states and WV would be in late October and late April! Totally weird.

By: Kevin Myatt

Kevin Myatt — Thu, 19 Apr 2012 01:42:26 +0000

The tendency for the weekend storm is that if it becomes really wrapped up early and slows down or stalls, the “negative tilt” on the upper trough (the axis angled NW to SE, rather than usual SW to NE of positively tilted trough) would tend to pull the system more inland. It’s doubtful it would spin off the coast like Ash Wednesday ’62. It would be somewhat more likely to get pulled inland toward northern Va or western Pa/eastern Ohio, more like Appalachian Storm 1950. The level of cold air present is not as great as it was with either of those storms, so snowfall would not be as widespread as with either of those. Coastal flooding and erosion may be a threat in some areas along the coast, considering the strength and track. Right now, I’m betting on a classic coastal or slightly inland track, with its greatest deepening occurring in the Northeast.

One concern now is that the storm is a bookend to the October snowstorm for inland New England. As in October, a heavy, wet snow now with so much leafed out could be a disaster for trees and power lines they would fall onto.

By: Matt

Matt — Thu, 19 Apr 2012 01:21:45 +0000

I received .80 in my gauge here between Rocky Mount and Smith Mtn Lake. Looks like it ended up being a bit more than was originally expected by CPC and NWS.

By: Doug Griggs of SW RNKE County, 1420 ft. elevation

Doug Griggs of SW RNKE County, 1420 ft. elevation — Thu, 19 Apr 2012 01:09:46 +0000

Kevin and Quags and anyone else following the models …. do any of them show any possibility that the Low becomes stationary just east of either the Outer Banks or Virginia Beach? If that were to happen, we just might have a sort of repeat of the “Ash Wednesday Nor’easter” of early March 1962.
And we wouldn’t want it, believe me. Not that much wind and rain, especially for the Outer Banks and coastal New Jersey. Devastating damage back then, but the price tag now would prob’ly be at least 5 times as high, maybe even a multiple of ten.

By: Doug Griggs of SW RNKE County, 1420 ft. elevation

Doug Griggs of SW RNKE County, 1420 ft. elevation — Thu, 19 Apr 2012 01:01:02 +0000

I looked back at the thread started last Thursday, April 12th, entitled “UPDATE 11:50 PM”. I made a couple of comments at the end of that thread on late Friday evening.
wd, my “reverse snow dance” seems to have worked!! This system overperformed vs. the outlook just a couple of days ago, at least for Doppler Gal, you and me and folks close to the Blue Ridge SW of US 220.
I think/know that many of you don’t look back at comments from Friday night and Saturday and perhaps on Sundays, which is fine, but the very last one I made on that thread (at 10:25 PM Friday) described how dry the golf course was that I played that day in Front Royal, VA. It wasn’t just there. I also took a look at Winchester CC that morning, and I couldn’t believe how pale green the fairways and greens were (from lack of rain). Even some brown spots … in mid-April no less!!! Those two golf courses were the driest-looking courses I have even seen in the past three seasons at least, and I sometimes play in other regions of the US and Ontario, Canada. I was shocked!!
I got pretty wet today doing my mail thing, but loved it!!! We needed the rain! I don’t want ANYONE here in blogland to see conditions like I saw.