Guest blogger Kathryn Prociv stands in while Kevin is away for a few days:
The strong cold overnight that passed through overnight certainly ushered in a different air mass! This morning was a complete 180 from yesterday morning with bright sunshine (almost blinding) and cooler, biting air. Today will be what I like to call “deceptively chilly:” bright sunshine but chilly temperatures with highs only reaching the mid-40s for most of the area. The other factor chilling the air out there will be the breezy NNW winds. With clear skies continuing into the evening, overnight lows will be quite COLD, dipping down to the mid-20s for the areas west of the Blue Ridge and upper 20s to low 30s east of the Blue Ridge. The National Weather Service map shows the projected low temperatures overnight. Tomorrow looks similar to today, with the exception of winds shifting around to the east and a slight increase in cloud cover.
With relatively quiet weather to talk about for today and tomorrow, I thought I would shift gears and discuss the potential coastal storm for next week. Many people, especially in the northeast, are thinking “not again!” The good news is early model data indicates this storm will be weaker than last week’s nor’easter, and also warmer meaning more of a wind/rain event and less of a snow/blizzard event. Many of the models have yet to agree on timing, strength, and track of the storm but most are hinting at a Sunday-Wednesday timeframe, likely impacting Virginia earlier rather than later Sunday through Monday. The GFS model shows the location of the low and precipitation shield on Monday pretty far off the coast impacting only coastal locations. Impacts for southwest Virginia will depend largely on track of the low pressure system; the farther inland it tracks, the more likely we are to see precipitation on the western edge of the storm. A lot could still change, but it is worth keeping an eye on for anyone planning on traveling toward the coast this weekend or for the holiday, and especially if you’re planning on heading to the Northeast as any coastal storm could impact that region later in the week.