Comments on: Digging deeper into winter snow forecast/historical analysis as contest draws to close

By: wdbrand

wdbrand — Fri, 09 Nov 2012 17:21:27 +0000

Mr. Griggs, I would have figgered you’ve lived down here long enough to have at least learned some of our talk and customs, but I guess not. Once a yankee, always a yankee. Ask some ole southern boys at work, they’ll fill you in.

By: Doug Griggs, SW ROA County, 1420 Ft

Doug Griggs, SW ROA County, 1420 Ft — Fri, 09 Nov 2012 01:18:20 +0000

I just looked at the Ensemble outlooks for NAO and AO. They may be indicating when the cold weather will return. There is now consensus on the NAO Ensemble …. a big increase up to positive territory before the 15th, and then another “upside-down-cone” perhaps with a drop back to neutral and slightly negative country from the 14th to 20th, roughly. Sure looks like the start of another V into negative levels.

By: Kevin Myatt

Kevin Myatt — Fri, 09 Nov 2012 01:07:32 +0000

I don’t see a big cooldown — other than quickie cooldown for 2 days next week — til no earlier than Thanksgiving week and maybe later. Some discussion of that in new blog entry I posted a bit ago.

By: Doug Griggs, SW ROA County, 1420 Ft

Doug Griggs, SW ROA County, 1420 Ft — Fri, 09 Nov 2012 01:00:50 +0000

I just looked at the CPC 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks, and both show SW Virginia in or just out of the eastern edge of a warm bubble centered in the Midwest on both maps. Of course they could end up being wrong, but where is the big cooldown?
COLC Linkman worketh: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/index.php and http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814/index.php

By: Doug Griggs, SW ROA County, 1420 Ft

Doug Griggs, SW ROA County, 1420 Ft — Fri, 09 Nov 2012 00:53:37 +0000

wd, would you be nice enough to translate what your 8:28 AM sentences meant? I have no idea …..

By: Roa10

Roa10 — Thu, 08 Nov 2012 21:56:24 +0000

Being as this will likely be the last winter I spend the majority of time in Roanoke, I would be more than pleased with a snow total as the one you are guessing, Kevin. Hopefully we are in for a fun few months!

By: Other John

Other John — Thu, 08 Nov 2012 20:17:46 +0000

I’m planning to play golf, one way or another, this weekend. The weather is simply going to be too nice to pass up. If I had the time, and could still get free greens fees (by working at a golf course), I’d play all winter long. But, having to pay for rounds of golf, I pick and choose when I play to get the best weather, so I maximize the value for what I pay.

I have played in sub-freezing temperatures, in a nor’easter, and in 100+ degree sweltering heat and humidity (and all while walking the courses too…)…fun experience when it’s free, a horrible decision if it’s not!

By: Kevin Myatt

Kevin Myatt — Thu, 08 Nov 2012 20:16:30 +0000

’32-’33 was a medium winter, Carol. 14.5 inches. So was 33-34, 17.5. Then came 3.4 in 34-35. 1930s weren’t a big snow era around here.

By: Rick in Wytheville

Rick in Wytheville — Thu, 08 Nov 2012 19:53:01 +0000

The tropics won’t die? Now, that’s pretty far out in the Atlantic for something to try and get started in November.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

By: Doppler Carol (Floyd County Doppler 2546 ft)

Doppler Carol (Floyd County Doppler 2546 ft) — Thu, 08 Nov 2012 18:58:02 +0000

So Kevin – how did the winter of 1932-33 go? Did it make up for the previous winter?

Nice and sunny up here on the ridge but the wind is blustery!