Comments on: Mild Thanksgiving weather will shift quickly to windy, chilly weekend

By: Doug Griggs, SW ROA County, 1420 Ft

Doug Griggs, SW ROA County, 1420 Ft — Sat, 24 Nov 2012 00:57:49 +0000

To the tune of the Tonight Show with Johnny Carson: TA DA.DA DAA DAAA. Heerrreee’s WD!! Comment 47 at 11:09 this morn. Laugh Out Loud funny!!!

By: Doug Griggs, SW ROA County, 1420 Ft

Doug Griggs, SW ROA County, 1420 Ft — Sat, 24 Nov 2012 00:53:25 +0000

Oops, I shoulda kept reading. Blogmaster just said the same thing (comment 41 at 9:45) about no big El Nino. Sorry.

By: Doug Griggs, SW ROA County, 1420 Ft

Doug Griggs, SW ROA County, 1420 Ft — Sat, 24 Nov 2012 00:51:18 +0000

Jared, I have not read the details of Dave’s article from yesterday, so I don’t know what the EPO is, but I do know if the PNA does flip to positive while the NAO and AO are very minus, we will have big cold practically guaranteed. The one thing I would ad is that there is no strong El Nino this winter, which is what made 2009-10 so big. 2010-11 was a La Nina, and we were very cold AND VERY DRY. I bet this winter will be snowier than both 2011-12 (big hairy deal) and 2010-11, but not all that close to 2009-10 snowfall for the season.
One thing I would love to read Dave Tolleris go into is what are the precursor signs that would lead up to and indicate a changing of the NAO and AO to positive, or even neutral for several weeks. I bet one of them would be a cooling of the ocean waters around Greenland (that would/might affect NAO). Another might be a switch of the polar vortex (vortices) from primarily on the North American side to over the pole or on the Siberian/Eurasian side of the North Pole (that would primarily affect the AO, I bet.

By: Doug Griggs, SW ROA County, 1420 Ft

Doug Griggs, SW ROA County, 1420 Ft — Sat, 24 Nov 2012 00:40:19 +0000

I almost came on the blog at Oh-dark-thirty this early morning and amended my 6:18 comment from yesterday evening. I thought Hokieburg would hit the big six-oh today. It did not; high was only 56*. I wonder if that home town of VT will reach 60 at all in December. In fact, I wonder if ROA will reach that number!

By: Kevin Myatt

Kevin Myatt — Fri, 23 Nov 2012 23:04:23 +0000

’96 storm dumped more snow in the Mid-Atlantic states, but the ’93 storm was epic in terms of the total area of snow cover. It snowed from Mobile, Alabama, to the tip of Maine. It is still believed the ’93 storm dumped a greater volume of snow on the United States than any storm in recorded history. ’93 storm also produced hurricane-like storm surge on west coast of Florida, tornado outbreak in Florida peninsula and sent a derecho into Cuba. In terms of the total effects of the storm over a vast area, there really is no comparison, ’93 wins hands down. In terms of snowfall over a few states in the Mid Atlantic and Northeast, ’96 beats ’93 at many, but not all, locations.

By: Jared French of Greene county

Jared French of Greene county — Fri, 23 Nov 2012 22:58:27 +0000

Just getting ready to say the only year I can remember back home in Giles being close to that was probably 95-96 and that was only because of that 3 footer we had in January. That is still the largest single snow total from one storm I ever saw and probably ever will see! Kevin, why does the March 93 storm get more air time then the January 96 storm? I can only think maybe the winds were worse. The 96 storm dumped more snow.

By: Kevin Myatt

Kevin Myatt — Fri, 23 Nov 2012 22:48:09 +0000

Charlottesville got 56.8 inches in 2009-10, which was their all-time record. Dulles International got 73.2 inches and Washington D.C. Reagan National 56.1 inches, also all-time records.

Roanoke’s record is 62.7 inches from 1959-60, with 56 inches even in both 1995-96 and 1986-87 tied for 2nd place. Roanoke got 43.1 inches in 2009-10. Again, 2 storms in early February made the difference in 2009-10 between Southwest Virginia huge season totals and Northern Virginia record season totals.

By: Jared French of Greene county

Jared French of Greene county — Fri, 23 Nov 2012 22:32:10 +0000

Yes, 09-10 winter was the all time snowiest winter up here in the Charlottesville area. I measured 2 foot during the pre Christmas storm then another 2 foot I believe some time in early February along with a few minor snows. I believe the total for the year was something rivaling 60 inches. Kevin can you check the records and see just how much Greene, Madison or Albemarle had total that year? Just curious.

By: HokieTrax (west Hokieburg 2091')

HokieTrax (west Hokieburg 2091') — Fri, 23 Nov 2012 21:50:19 +0000

Wind just kicked up here in Hokieburg.

By: Kevin Myatt

Kevin Myatt — Fri, 23 Nov 2012 21:26:35 +0000

New CPC 8-14-day temperature map much more reflective of the PNA- pattern with warmth across much of U.S.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif

… and also dry weather continuing in our part of the country.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814prcp.new.gif