Record warmth ends; rainy and colder next 2 days
Blacksburg set its second consecutive record high Sunday, hitting 69, smashing the previous Jan. 13 record high from 8 years ago by 5 degrees. Roanoke came up just short, its 71 not quite reaching the Jan. 13 record of 73 from 1932. We won’t see any more record highs for a long time.
First things first. Before any further talk of Arctic cold arriving next week (very likely — but intensity and duration uncertain) or even a possible light snow system Thursday night and Friday (very iffy), there is an obvious large weather situation before our eyes, which is the strong possibility of many locations in the southern half of Virginia seeing their biggest rain in 4 months. A cold front that has brought amazing chilly weather to deep southern latitudes in the central and western U.S. will get hung up near or just east of us Monday and Tuesday. At least two different waves of low-pressure will ride up the front, spreading periods of rain. There may be some gap of rain between the two systems late Monday or early Tuesday, but rain will be possible just about any time during those days. Temperatures will start out mild on Monday, in the 50s, but colder air begins working in Monday night, and Tuesday could be a very raw day with temperatures hanging in the upper 30s to low 40s with rain. That will be a rude reality check after this weekend’s 60s and 70s. It appears now that only a few spots above 3,000 feet might get cold enough for some icing on Tuesday — keep an eye on that if you live on one of the ridgetops. As you know, a borderline situation can get badly icy fast up at those heights.
********
Below is the weekly snow meter. I’m already wondering as I post this, looking at new data, if I should have gone a couple flakes higher for Roanoke and Blacksburg for Friday. But a deadline is a deadline …
Snow meter
1/14-1/20
Chance of 1 inch of snow on scale of 0 (no chance) to 10 (certain) snowflakes.
Roanoke **** 4 snowflakes
Blacksburg **** 4 snowflakes
Outlook: This week presents at least a little difficulty. Colder weather will be returning by midweek, but it won’t be all that cold, at least this week, just typical January temperatures. There is some chance the leading edge of the cold air could catch up to the back side of Tuesday’s rain (the second day of what is likely to be a much-needed soaker) and cause some mixed precipitation, but this is more likely in higher elevations and to the north and west of Roanoke and Blacksburg. Late in the week, there is some possibility that upper-level energy squirting across the South might develop a low-pressure system that could lift moisture into cold air about Friday. It looks pretty sketchy, but there is just enough window of opportunity there that I’m a little leery, though not enough to go on the high side of the snow meter. Beyond this week, it’s looking more and more likely that a major Arctic outbreak will bring truly cold weather for several days to Southwest Virginia. That may make the snow meter a little more challenging.
Looking back: Easy week. I should have given out 10 suns for the chance of breaking record high temperatures this past weekend. Zero snowflakes for this past week was definitely the right call.
Current records: 6-0 for Roanoke, 5-1 for Blacksburg.
January 13, 2013 - 7:43 PM
RSS feed 
NEWS FLASH MONDAY 0Z GFS UPS THE ANTE FOR THE RAIN FROM MONDAY TO WEDNESDAY AND THE SNOW FOR FRIDAY…
Rats…I just updated QWC too. Back to the drawing board. Will update it later in the day. This now bear serious watching.
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/AVN_0z/avnloopnew.html
Hey guys! Here’s the link to my blog for those interested as well as some cool pics from this weekend!
http://blueridgeweather.blogspot.com/2013/01/winter-is-back-with-some-moisture-too.html
A look forward to a couple good days of soaking rains. I have missed the clouds and moisture!
Just added the snow meter. Friday’s situation is indeed looking more interesting. Might regret not going a couple of flakes higher.
Hey Kevin think i will have a decent chance at seeing snow thurs/fri?
I think you called the Friday “no snow” correctly Kevin. I’d have gone 3 flakes. You are 11-1 and moving through the playoffs well.
Warm this morning 56 here.Cloudy conditions again.Calling for a high near 60.Rain coming in later today.Everyone have a good day.Just checked the 6:00 Temps it already down to 43 in Wise.Hope the cold front is heading this way.
I’d say todays high of 61* was reached around 2 AM. Been dropping since. 58.1* now and still going down slowly.
Currently this morning, it is 56 with light rain. We have had “0.11″ inches of rain so far. No wind or breeze at this time.
Wow, this is some putrid rain! Radar looks pathetic, where is the 1-2 inches of rain forecast! Should have been a weather man, make all that money and never have to be right!
My vantage pro 2 is saying its gonna be clear today. Went from heavy at times to clear. I saw a dry slot developing last night at 3.
A little bit of rain so far, a bit over a tenth of an inch through this morning…holding right near 50 degrees. Looking forward to the heavier rains tonight through Tuesday night, which the NWS says will be on the order of 2.5-4.25 inches…based on the written forecast details…which is also pretty clsoely in line with HPC amounts of around 3 inches. I hope that verifies…we could certainly use it. But, I did notice that, thankfully, the ground is finally showing signs of moisture in it. While cutting down several trees and hauling brush over the weekend, the ground finally is no longer powder-dry like it was before the rains in December. So far for the month, just 0.21″ of precipitation though…sort of hoping that any snow potential waits until about 11pm on Friday to start…I have plans to be at the VT-UVA hockey game at the Roanoke Civic Center, and I really dislike driving 81 when it’s snowing.
52 and drizzle here in Bleaksburg. Classic weather pattern – spring 70s, then rain, then more rain, then snow, then bitter cold. All in the same week.
Ummm, Jared — you do know the 1-2 inches is through Wednesday morning, don’t you? Did you expect to get all of that in the first six hours? Not sure what radar you’re looking at it, but I see rain lining up all the way from Virginia to Louisiana moving northeast, with some showers already in SW Virginia and a big slug of rain moving from Georgia into east Tennessee, headed our way. Pretty much on target.
And most “weathermen” I know don’t make “all that money.” The most professional ones are also 70-80 percent right by any reasonably conducted assessment. Your statement is trite, unwarranted, and with regard to the current weather situation, ridiculously premature.
Kris: Your Vantage Pro 2 will be wrong, it won’t be “clear” even if it somehow doesn’t rain as much as expected. But since this involves waves of low-pressure moving up a front, it’s possible it’s picking up on barometric pressure rises between the lows and identifying that with clear weather.
HPC has now put a 3+ bullseye squarely on SW Virginia.
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/d13_fill.gif
Jared — if you’re talking about Greene County, it’s more on the 1-1.25 inch edge of things rather than in the core of the heavy rain.
The latest guidance is farther south with the late-week storm.
Here’s the irony: In order to get the late-week snow in SW Virginia, you need the first push of Arctic air late this week, greatly modified as it is, to be a little WEAKER. The models that bring a bit more cold air late this week shove the system farther south.
It’s entirely possible that we see Charlotte getting snow later this week with none here. Will keep tracking it, leftover southern stream energy like this isn’t well tracked 4-5 days out and will bounce around quite a bit until several things are better resolved.
Thanks kevin. Its went back to cloudy with rain again.
Never seen so much frustration from people about the weather. I’ve been on this blog for 3 years now and id put my money on kevins weather predictions any day. I personally think the weather patterns are changing and its harder to predict so some of u might wanna get ready for change. I wasn’t believer of global warming but after looking at these maps showing the temps in the artic I’m starting to wonder.
Well, let’s hope that artic air push becomes a little weaker then! I NEED snow! It’s not just a want anymore LOL
I’ve said since I moved up here that Greene county is the driest place in Virginia! Guessing the mountains block everything. Looking at the pond at number 6 and its probably 2 feet under the spillway. Could use anything up here, but so far just a light shower. Meant radar looked crap for here. I do see the batch in GA, but pretty sure Greene wont get that.
I usually divide the HPC projected rainfall totals by 2, and then subtract 20%. That usually gets pretty close to what actually falls at my house.
Glad to report from a rainy Chapel this morning. Rained off and on all night but I did not look at the gauge. Creeks were slightly elevated and milky. East TN is under a flood watch and it appears we will get a good soaker. I am really hoping this one crosses the mountains all the way up to Greene Co. Temps were down to 45 when I got to Abingdon. I had let my fire go out Saturday but will crank it back up this evening when I get home. Still headed to Gatlinburg this weekend and hoping to see some snow.
57* this morning with steady rain here in Woodlawn…caught some good showers heading to Mount Airy for work. Looks like that “X” marks the spot just about over my house on Kevin’s link above!! Hope my rain guage works this time…
Kevin you answered my next question. Often it is better to not be in the track of a storm 5 days out, as the track will change over time, but if you expect it may go further south, I guess that will leave us out as what I saw from last night only had us on the northern edge. I don’t mind a few warm days in January, but I can do without the humidity.
Botetourt County is out of school on Thursday, Friday and Monday. We will probably get a foot of snow since the kids are already out! Oh well, any snow would be great even if there isn’t a true snow day! Thank you to all who keep us up to date and educated on weather ways.
Jared, as someone who lived in Greene for 18 years, I can say that the county has had it’s share of moisture.
It’s the same anywhere along the east side of the Blue Ridge…if systems come out of the west, then the east side of the mountains will get nill.
If the systems come from the gulf with a south-east flow then Greene, and counties geographically similar, will get a deluge. I can’t remember just how many times we had to abandon the house because of the threats of flooding. We were also the area of the region that would always get the most snowfall.
The last couple of years have just been very dry. Law of averages and all.
Just glanced at the temps and we have gone down to 50 F and the rain gauge is saying “0.17″ inches now. Started a small fire to take the damp chill off.
Crazy temp differences just a few miles apart (5.9 as the crow flies). I noticed leaving my dad’s place last night that it had cooled down considerably, yet when I got home it was still rather warm/muggy. Currently his high temp for the day is 58.2 while my low is 58.3. Our current rain totals are .14 for him, .12 for me.
Wow. I am still stumbling through all this model stuff, but it looks like the 12Z NAM at 84HR, Friday, has the low coming up to our west. But way too warm for snow? Is the NAM reliable that far out? I welcome any corrections or advice.
Also, is the 12Z GFS taking the Friday storm a little further south than the 06Z?
Thank you, Kevin, for your reply to Greene County.
Wunderground is showin a bunch of froze/mixed precip from the gulf to SW Va. and the temps in Tenn. says it should be snow in some areas
http://www.wunderground.com/radar/mosaic.asp
http://classic.wunderground.com/US/TN/
Jared,
Greene is the driest place in Va? I beg to differ … I was editor of the Greene County Record from 2002 to 2003 and it seems all I did was take photos of flooded roads. I wish I could remember some of the place names, but all I can remember is Bacon Hollow. But rain … oh yeah, it rained a lot and when it snowed, well, all I can say is that Stanardsville is lovely in the snow. Great photos there! I remember my time in Greene very fondly, as you can tell.
Kevin appears to be spot on.
A couple of impulses riding the train
SW of ROA valley..first one apchng is from Asheville
to PSK..
2nd bubble from about Birmingham to Chattanooga..
NWS has 2 mi moderate rain after around 6pm this
eve for ROA..
and of course sweeps well to the SW into Miss and La..
I had to do a double take..appeared Little Rock and NW
of them were getting snow..as the returns seemed to show that
with its feathery edges..alas too cold on the back side..
its not making it to the surface..psbl lite snow in souther Mo…but I cant find a station reporting it. Thats largely why I believe Kevin
is pretty on the money as to going to warm /damp to cold and dry rapidly.
There’ll be a bunch of electrical line trucks headin south on I-81 tonight and tomorrow.
Zach R. if you out there….Right on Brotha! Saw your post at wxrisk’s FB page on 12Z GFS.
Don’t think the Friday storm is going to bust at all. Long way to go and the potential is still there.
Newman; NAM is too far north and GFS is too far south. Split the difference and SW Va is in business for snow on Friday.
NAM generally isn’t considered a very good model beyond 48 hours. It’s more of a short-term model than mid-range.
Gonna be lots of unhappy folks on here if current GFS/Euro idea holds and the Carolinas get snow Friday while we’re high and dry. Still early. Southern stream storms usually shift a little northwest from early runs.
I can’t claim any originality on rain forecast — it’s the consensus.
Y’all know how this goes. We never get those smoothed-out ovals the maps show with a circle of 3+, a bigger circle of 2+, etc. Some spots get more and some spots get less.
Looks like a new slug of rain is about to move into the Roanoke/New River valleys. It appears Tuesday’s area of rain will be even more extensive, especially to the west and north.
Regarding the annual precipitation patterns for the Commonwealth…here’s a map that was put out during the State Climate Series by CoCoRaHS…
http://cocorahs.org/Media/images/composite-VA-1100w.png
The driest parts of the state are generally in the New River and Shenandoah Valleys, because mountains west and east of both help wring out moisture approaching from both the west and the east.
It’s why folks like Rick in Wytheville and myself often have lower precipitation totals than the surrounding area. Like for where I live, we have mountains of 2500-3500 feet in elevation to our west, northwest, north, east, and south…and my house sits at 1900 feet. Unless we get a pop-up storm over our house, or we get under a particularly heavy squall of rain or snow, we usually wind up a tad drier than neighbors a few miles away.
Jared maybe you should consider moving….
And thanks quags! I’m here. lurk alot but I’m here everyday! I think this one is far from finished.
Kevin that’s what I’m going to look for over the next few days/model runs…the northern shift these southern sliders do T-48 hrs. I think the first wave of “arctic” air will be greatly modified and not as cold as models are projecting. Not much science behind my theory….more like hope!
Kevin (or anybody else), where can you go to find the precip totals for an area? With respect to Jared’s post I would have guessed we had more rain up here than down around Roanoke. So it would ne intersting to compare CHO to ROA.
I’m basing my theory on extremely scientific data and exhaustive research: Our grass stayed relatively green all summer where by folks yard (in Roanoke) was as hard as a rock and the grass was barely hanging on. Plus you could have grown corn along the banks of Smith Mt. Lake it was (and probably is) so low.
Thanks
Joe, the radar map on wunderground seemed to be outta wack to me, but Tenn. temps aid it could be frozen. Not making the ground huh?
2:35 PM weather report. Temp went from 64 this morning to 52 now with moderate rain here in Goochland Co. Looks like the front is in a line from Bristol to the NRV to Roanoke to Fredericksburg. Temps in WV & KY dropping in the 40s.
I have to put in a plug for this. NOAA is flying the same bird I drive for this article.
NOAA deploys high-tech plane to improve winter storm forecasts
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2013/20130114_givdeploys.html
Gulfstream…there is no substitute.
QWC will update later this afternoon after 12Z runs
John from Ruckersville…
Here you go…
http://water.weather.gov/precip/
You will have to play with the site and map parameters below to get what you want. If this is too hi-tech, try this site.
http://weathersource.com/past-weather/weather-history-reports/free?gclid=CKP28uDP6LQCFQyk4AodzgEAhg
Ruckersville John try this website under data. You can get lots of location specific data
http://www.cocorahs.org/state.aspx?state=va
All I know is I talk to my parents alot throughtout the year and they say Giles is always getting hit by storms and the winter they seem to always get pretty good amount of rain or snow! When they come visit they always say it seems the grass looks much drier and yellow after they past Staunton coming toward Greene from Roanoke, not sure why that is. The grass does seem to hold much more green down in the NRV in the summer then it does here. Ive been in Greene since 03 now and all but one summer it has been hot as hades and dry as a desert! Think it might have been 04 or 05 it actually rained pretty good one summer and kept the temperatures to bearable. Winter has been high and dry here since 09-10 and before that I never really remembered much snow fall during the winter! So I guess Giles is just in a better geographic area for precipitation, I know its a ton cooler due to elevation.
There is some frozen precipitation neat the Mississippi River today. This colder air mass is moving in west to east, so it’s colder west of us, even pretty far south.
Beautiful moderate rain falling and 62 degrees on the Peninsula right now. Hope enough falls to ease the drought situation. Also, hoping to see some snow Friday when I’m back in Martinsville.
Congrats on your snow meter record, Kevin. wd and I told you that it would be easy to run up an excellent record. Now bring on the rain. More, more, we’re still not satisfied!
Nice plane ,Quags…just read article yesterday about new Gulfstream G650 I think?? Wish I had the 20+ million to get one…
Kevin, comment 14. You have me laughing out loud again. Good ol’ (actually “young”) JJF was at it again in his 7:39 AM comment. Reminds me of a gigantic Elton John hit from his big rock days in the 70s, The “B” is Back ….. Stone cold sober as a matter of fact …..
Where is this soaking rain, not that way in Salem?
It’s the best kind of soaking rain — stretched out over 2 days. Much better than getting poured out all at once.
Where is it that folks keep getting the idea that there was going to be 1-2 inches in the daylight hours today? That’s for a 48-hour period.
a whole lot a fuss about the weather these days on this here blog!
12Z Euro is extraordinarily cold by Wednesday morning, Dec. 23. That’s showing -20 to -22C at 850 millibars … that would be -4 to -8F on some of our higher peaks.
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/euro/12zeuro850mbTSLPUS216.gif
The Euro is back to suppressing the late-weeks system deep to the south. We’ll see where that ends up.
Jared – forgive the geography teacher in me for coming out, but it seems you need a lesson on windward/leeward sides of mountains. Nate’s comments point this out extremely well; storm systems that come out of the West dump the great majority of their moisture on the windward side of the Blue Ridge, leaving a “rain shadow” of sorts on Greene Co. Systems that come out of the South or East can do the opposite, which is why you all see much more snow there out of those systems. The same is true for Giles–many areas of Giles county that are on the Western slopes of mountains get much more snow than areas on the eastern side. Being from Bland County, I can give you many examples of storms that have dumped a good bit of snow on my house (on the windward side of Big Walker Mountain), only to do diddly-poo on Little Creek (on the leeward side from the storm of Big Walker).
10:10, the “Hobackster.” Great comment. You have joined Kevin in the “Blog commenters who have made Doug G. laugh Club.” I’m with you, I also hope that the rain inundates Greene County. If JJF gets 2 inches, do you suppose that he will acknowledge it? Hmmmm …..
Fabulous comment, Ryan. But believe me/us, it almost certainly won’t stop the Greene County Boy from moaning about it. :>) :>) And yes, Scott Patrick, the blog has become a lot more “weepy” in the past 3-4 weeks. Not that I am in favor of it ….. except when it comes to the drought.
THAT is a potentially giant problem. There is a lot of crying because folks aren’t getting what they hoped for. I have been guilty of that for the past two summers, but when an area is getting consistently dry-slotted when lots of other folks are getting some or a lot of liquid, it is frustrating. Especially when it didn’t happen that way in most previous years.
Latest NAM keeps it raining on Roanoke/Blacskburg area almost continously until 1 a.m. Wednesday. Maybe a small lull Tuesday afternoon between the low pressure systems.
Just click on all the simulated radar views here through 36 hours.
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov//list_files_area.php?model=nam&cycle=18&area=namer¶m=sim_radar
Hey, Merle Spencer, are you out there? How about checking in here? It looks like your region of the state is getting hit hard with rain in Henry County.
I think one will come sooner or later. But it will be one that “snucked” in on us. Sooner the weather service quits callin fer it, the sooner we mought get one.
Supper time report from Doppler Ridge(FCX) – currently 46 F and we have had “0.39″ inches of rain. The rain has been slow and steady most of the afternoon. Some low level clouds out there too. A good night for soup and then reading in front of the woodstove.
Other John, how old was that CoCoRah information? Because during 2012 (and I think they were also quite a bit under normal in 2011) Danville had to be one of the driest locations in the state. Down something like 15-16 inches for 2012 alone. But since no one who comments here lives there, it gets overlooked. That area has got to be in huge trouble going into 2013 spring (I am thinking of the farmers first and foremost).
WD: If you’re talking about snow, the weather service isn’t calling for any snow the next 7 days. So is this time one might go and “snuck” in on us?
By the way, I have 0.30 inches in the gauge. Which is less than what Lindsay Tapases’ model on “13″ showed for 6 PM in Roanoke and Blacksburg. I went online yesterday evening and looked again at her weathercast. Her model was showing about 0.60 inches by now for both Blacksburg and ROA, and just about an inch for Hillsville. THAT WAS NOT A COMPLAINT, btw. Just an update comparing actual vs. her model.
I am optimistic that we get about 2 inches total here at most sites in the ROA valley. “7″‘s model came out with 2.25 for ROA and higher amounts for Franklin, and especially Patrick, Henry, maybe even Pittsylvania Counties. And yes Jared and others, these are estimates for the entire event, through Wednesday.
Much better chance than if they were.
I didn’t check it up close, but through the window looks like about 0.30-0.40 rain in my gauge today, just south of Roanoke. I think I’ll have an inch by morning.
I realize that we are still almost 96 hours (4 full days) away from Friday and the possible storm here, but I was shocked when I looked at the TWC weekly planner (only forecasted rain is a small area in north central Florida, otherwise dry all the way up the Atlantic seaboard states) and WDBJ7 is predicting “Mostly sunny and high of 46.” Not what I was expecting to see at all.
Hey folks, long time no chat! I think we have right about .25 on my side of FC, not terribly far from the Roanoke line.
In regards to disappointment on the totals so far I will say that when I initially checked the NWS forecast this morning it said between 1 – 2 inches of rain overnight tonight…maybe that’s where folks got their hopes up, ha?
Coincidence. Brent Watts just reviewed the 2012 rainfall deficits for the 4 cities that measure it. Blacksburg 4.50. Roanoke 8.34. Lynchburg 11.8 or so. Danville?? How about a colossal 15.58 inches below normal??
The Chapel is rainy and 46 degrees. I glanced at the gauge when I came in and it has topped 1″ and rain is falling from a moderate – heavy pace. Local weather saying we could have 2″ more by Wednesday morning. Local weather forecast from TV 5 in Bristol is now getting on the wagon for next week. The weatherman said by next Tuesday and Wednesday we would have our coldest weather of the season. He also said we would talk further after this system. Right now they are dealing with flood watches in all of East TN. None in VA so far.
As far as the rain goes, I sure hope they nail it. As far as the snow goes, I could care less. Main reason for a good snow, would be for a slow release of water with no runoff. Just a good ground soaker.
The TWC/WDBJ forecasts for dry and normalish temps (even a little milder than normal for the weekend, with sunshine) fit the current state of the Euro/GFS models that suppress the late-week storm system.
A good steady rain here and about 48 degrees. Slated to go down to 36 tonight. I wonder if we might see some snow mixed in with the rain later tonight and tomorrow am.
My gauge registers 0.24″. Not sure I trust it much, but that seems about right for what I saw here on da Knob. Most welcome I might say.
We are still at 46 but now the rain gauge is showing “0.53″ inches. Very nice steady rain out there.
Temps have dropped steadily since dark and it is now 41. I was surprised to see the drop but some of that cold air in KY is seeping down across the mtn. Still raining at a steady pace. Best single rain system in months.
Nice steady rain falling,temp at 43 now.It feels more like winter tonight.Thats not saying much as its still above normal for this late in January.Keep that rain coming.Will post before i retire for the night.Lol!
We have more cold rain than snow even in most of our snowy winters, so I would say a rainy night with temps dropping back to chilliness definitely qualifies as winter-feeling.
Some early rainfall totals around NWS-Blacksburg’s forecast area through 9 p.m. Quite a few well over an inch in the southern tier of Virginia counties.
https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=201301150228-KRNK-NOUS41-PNSRNK
Starting to see some snow and ice reports along TN/KY/VA/NC border area such as Jackson, KY, Hazard, KY, Big Stone Gap, areas west of I-77 may start getting some mix or light snow especially in the higher elevations.
Any reports out there for SW VA? Zach…anybody?
Sleet/freezing rain reports in West Virginia too as close as Greenbrier and Pocahontas counties — typical higher elevation areas that are first affected.
According to the banner at the top of this page, it is currently 52* in the Roanoke Valley. I don’t expect to see any ice or snow with these temps! As dry as we have been, rain is very nice at the moment. Hopefully snow will come sometime in the next couple of weeks.
44* here in Woodlawn…got 1.1 inches so far here in past 24hrs…still got a long way to go before this rainfall is over.
Eva, how about you?? Any freezing precip your way North of Bristol?
0.45in as of 10:30pm on my PWS in SW Roanoke City.
Quags were at 43.5 a ways away I think. Don’t expect to see much in the way of sleet/freezing rain here.
NAM comes in with what appears to be a good thump of snow if taken literal. The low closes off and we get a definite ULL back end snow. However, a look at the soundings indicate warm air aloft even though the 850 line is well through the Western 2/3rds of the area.
The main differences b/w the NAM/GFS/EURO are the NAM closes off the storm.. This does two things – - one allows it to pull to up further North and also allows warmer air to pull in on the front end.
The GFS/EURO don’t close off the low at all and keep the low fast and progressive in the South. Not much of a mechanism to believe this thing will go as far South as GFS/EURo say at this point – - the question in my mind is does it close off or does it stay flat?
Jay Webb on MY19 continues the WDBJ emphasis of a very wet system. 2 to 3 inches for Roanoke, Montgom., etc, with a really big 3-4 inches for the counties that touch NC along with southern Franklin County and the SW portion of Floyd County.
Hey, Amanda, welcome back!!
41 and raining pretty steadily – total so far “0.86″ inches. No sounds of sleet – yet. Keeping my eye on the radar.
1.08 inches of rain so far in Elliston.
Hi, Michelle. I have 49* and 0.80 inches in gauge. Raining much steadier now than at any time today that I saw. Moderate rate. I bet I am somewhere near 1.3 or 1.4 inches at 6:30 or so when I take the trash barrel out.
Doug, the CoCoRaHS data came from the state climate office records, if I remember correcgtly, using long-term averages. But yes, the area around Danville has been abnormally dry. My mom lives down there, and they have really had is bad with the lack of rain for a couple years.