Comments on: Rainy by Sunday PM; some snow potential midweek

By: wdbrand Rke. Co 1827'

wdbrand Rke. Co 1827' — Mon, 11 Feb 2013 10:49:38 +0000

Deb in Fairlawn. Look at the new thread for an elevation site I posted this morning.

By: Kevin Myatt

Kevin Myatt — Mon, 11 Feb 2013 04:29:19 +0000

Here’s Wednesday’s storm at its peak for us on the latest GFS:

This is pretty late Wednesday evening, 10 p.m. or so (Thursday 3Z)

GFS also shows some snow on us next Saturday with a low forming offshore and a disturbance diving pretty deep to the south.

By: Flutie

Flutie — Mon, 11 Feb 2013 04:24:36 +0000

Snow meter outta be interesting this week…. Kevin, you got a link to the GFS model you just mentioned?

By: Kevin Myatt

Kevin Myatt — Mon, 11 Feb 2013 04:16:00 +0000

GFS came a little north with the low on its latest run, but not nearly where the NAM is. GFS would give us rain-changing-to-snow situation with a couple of inches.

By: Doug G, SW ROA County, 1420 Ft

Doug G, SW ROA County, 1420 Ft — Mon, 11 Feb 2013 04:14:11 +0000

Clarification: The “still crazy … etc.” referred to the models only.

By: Doug G, SW ROA County, 1420 Ft

Doug G, SW ROA County, 1420 Ft — Mon, 11 Feb 2013 04:12:50 +0000

Still crazy after all ….. these years. The models may have “ingested” some wd mushrooms, but at least one of them is having trouble “digesting” them. Reader’s Digest?
wd may wake up tomorrow on his E.C.T. and have pink or even red ears.

By: Kevin Myatt

Kevin Myatt — Mon, 11 Feb 2013 03:55:37 +0000

Forecasters will be doing something like that, Nick. The average between the extremes seldom pans out, though … it’s more often the case that one model has a better idea than the others. They’re all still bouncing run to run, too, so that adds to the confusion.

By: Nick in the Ellett Valley, 1,555 ft

Nick in the Ellett Valley, 1,555 ft — Mon, 11 Feb 2013 03:52:35 +0000

Well Kevin, wouldn’t it be logical right now to take an average of the NAM and the Euro and thus the solution would be a low that roughly bisects both paths and gives us a moderate snow or mix event? What does the GFS say? Or the Canadian?

By: Kevin Myatt

Kevin Myatt — Mon, 11 Feb 2013 03:40:27 +0000

I think the models are ingesting some of those mushrooms wd talks about sometimes.

By: Brandon R.

Brandon R. — Mon, 11 Feb 2013 03:35:51 +0000

Gotta love a little model chaos to end the weekend.