Atlantic tropical season officially began on Sunday, and it’s possible, though far from certain, we’ll have a named storm by the end of the week. The National Hurricane Center is closely monitoring this area of disturbed weather in the Gulf of Mexico, which it gives a 30 percent chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours. If it does so and its winds reach 39 mph, it would become Tropical Storm Andrea. Whether it becomes a tropical cyclone or not, this low moving across Florida and up the East Coast is likely to enhance moisture in Southwest Virginia by late in the week (Thursday and Friday) into the weekend — also combined with the trough of low pressure moving east from where it may cause severe storms near where I am now in Oklahoma. So after a couple of dry days, our weather will likely resume its recent showery ways.
Hokie Storm Chasers caught a nice little high-based supercell in southern Kansas tonight (photo linked here by Chris White) before pulling back and letting it go as it turned into a complex of storms. We’re staying at Guymon, Okla., in the Panhandle tonight and will take one more stab at finding supercells/tornadoes tomorrow somewhere a little south or east of us before starting the trip back on Wednesday. We’ll likely arrive just in time for the tropical showers.