A warm Thursday where temps MAY flirt with 90 in Roanoke Valley will give way to a great weekend as a another dry cold front passes through the region tonight. Over the weekend, we are looking at high temps in the upper 70s to near 80 and some refreshing morning lows in the mid 50s with perhaps some upper 40s in the sheltered valleys in the region.
Continued dry, with literally no shot of rain through Monday of next week.
We do have some minor action in the tropics with TS Gabrielle forming yesterday just south of Puerto Rico. There are tropical storm warnings for Puerto Rico and watches for much of Hispaniola. Current projections have Gabrielle moving northwest very near the island of Hispaniola and then eventually shifting to the northeast and ending up in the middle of the Atlantic. Gabrielle looks to have no impact on the States.
Speaking of the tropics, 2013 is the first year we had no hurricanes form in August since 2003 and the latest hurricane season since 1977 without a hurricane forming. For those with great winter weather memories, both 2002-03 and 1977-78 winters were pretty cold and snowy in our region and much of the east coast. There is some research that shows the number of recurving hurricanes can impact the NAO in the winter (a -NAO greatly increases our chance for cold and snowy weather) but nothing as simplistic when storms form, etc. So, in essence that has some sizzle but lacks any steak.
I will share a few of my early thoughts on this upcoming winter later as we wind down our time together in preparation for Kevin’s triumphant return to Thr Weather Blog with double the children and half the sleep. We’ll hope this winter comes up cold and snowy and Kevin can use the baby overnight feedings as a training camp for late night winter storm tracking times!