I wanted to quickly update about a minor shot at some showers and maybe some an isolated thunderstorm tomorrow afternoon. After a great overnight and morning where most places saw low temps in mid 50′s, today is shaping up to be WONDERFUL. It’s 100% go on all outdoor activities.
The models have vacillated on what happens when another cold front approaches from the west. Western regions, like the NRV and up towards the Greenbriar Valley will have the best chance at showers, and chances drop over the Roanoke Valley, down to next to no shot once east of the Blue Ridge. These won’t ruin an entire day, but could be a minor nuisance for those NOT inside watching the NFL. Temps will be pretty warm tomorrow, with most places reaching the mid upper 80′s.
Looking at next week, Monday will be the coolest of the days and by Wednesday, we could be look at a couple of days back in the 90′s.
The tropics remain quiet, as Gabrielle came and went faster than a holiday weekend and TD had this little thing called LAND prohibit any development. (It came ashore in Mexico 2 days ago)
Looking towards winter, the Arctic Sea Ice has about reached it’s minimum which is usually around this date and it’s not as bleak as the past few year, but still will under the normal. One area that has been discussed among those involved in the climate change has been the PDO (Pacific Decadal Oscillation) and the impact of the cooling Pacific. This is NOT simply the El Nino regions, but is a basin wide scale and it it’s impact on global temperatures. With that, at least short term while the PDO remains negative, we very well could see some muting of the expecting warming.