Forecast accuracy?Posted Aug22, 2006 at 03:00 PMI stumbled across a Web site called www.forecastadvisor.com that offers percentages of accuracy for forecasts from various entities for given locations over periods of a month and a year. I can't vouch one way or the other for this, but feel free to explore it and consider. It appears to show that most forecasts are about 80 percent accurate over time, which is generally the number I've seen most in research on modern forecast accuracy. Sometimes I get asked why I don't do a column comparing and rating weather forecasts from various organizations. One reason I will never do that, either online or in print, is because The Weather Channel is owned by Landmark Communications, Inc., which also owns The Roanoke Times. On the page where my twice-weekly weather columns appear online, you will see a Weather Channel forecast up top. But often I will refer to National Weather Service products, and both the column page and the blog page have links to the weather service's office in Blacksburg. I'll stick to writing about the weather itself and leave judgment of individual weather entities and forecasts to you, the reader. |
About this blog
Kevin Myatt works on the copy desk for The Roanoke Times and is its principal weather geek, writing a weekly weather column and advising the newsroom on weather topics. He helps guide students on a storm chasing trip to the central U.S. each May and was an editor for "Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States." .....Advertisement.....
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