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Weather Journal

with Kevin Myatt

Nervous New Orleans

Posted Aug26, 2006 at 04:49 PM

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There was no jumping for joy in New Orleans or on the Mississippi Gulf Coast when the National Hurricane Center released this forecast track for Tropical Storm Ernesto this morning. (Click here for a closer look). This track seems to be making a beeline for the same areas pummeled by Katrina almost exactly a year ago. While this is understandably cause for some nervousness, it's very early: The projected track could change many times before Ernesto is a near and present danger to the U.S. coast. It has also yet to become a hurricane, with 50 mph winds currently, though conditions seem to be improving for its strenghtening. Whatever Ernesto does and wherever it goes, the storm's presence is likely to cast a strange shadow on this week's anniversary of the Katrina catastrophe.

Follow the latest information on Ernest on the National Hurricane Center Web site.

UPDATE, 5 P.M.: There has already been a slight eastward shift on the forecast track. Click here for the latest 5-day track forecast for Ernesto. There will probably many shifts in the track over the next few days. Of course, Ernesto could become a potential heavy rain threat for Southwest Virginia if it continues shifting eastward.

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Kevin Myatt works on the copy desk for The Roanoke Times and is its principal weather geek, writing a weekly weather column and advising the newsroom on weather topics. He helps guide students on a storm chasing trip to the central U.S. each May and was an editor for "Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States."

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