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Weather Journal

with Kevin Myatt

Too much needed rain?

Ernesto has been the latest "semi-flop" of this hurricane season, coming ashore in Florida as a tropical storm rather than the hurricane it had the potential to be.

All eyes now turn to its northward progression, and particularly for southwest Virginia, whether this will mean a round of heavy rain. It reminds me a lot of the late June set up, when we were very dry going in, but the 6-10 inches of rain that fell across the area still managed to flood a lot of creeks and rivers. We are in borderline drought status, so the ground can absorb a lot of rain that falls, but can Ernesto put us over the top into some flooding? Early odds favor eastern Virginia being more of the rain bullseye, but it's a close call.

Here are a couple of links to keep you updated:

Current Ernesto forecast track

Current 5-day rainfall forecast

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Mug of Kevin Myatt

Kevin Myatt works on the copy desk for The Roanoke Times and is its principal weather geek, writing a weekly weather column and advising the newsroom on weather topics. He helps guide students on a storm chasing trip to the central U.S. each May and was an editor for "Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States."

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