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Weather Journal

with Kevin Myatt

A few inches of snow possible in some higher elevations

snowthreat0413.gif

If you want to see measurable snow in the next couple of days, the area within the blue line at left is the best chance. This region of the Great Smokies northward into some of the higher elevations of far southwest Virginia and southern West Virginia has a slight risk -- 10 percent or so -- of seeing 4 or more inches of snow Sunday night and Monday, according to the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center. There is a better chance of seeing a couple of inches less than that, particularly in the very highest elevations and on west facing slopes.

All of this is being caused by a series of disturbances -- pockets of very cold air aloft -- that will be moving southeastward during the next 48 hours over the Canadian air mass that has moved in at the surface behind the cold front that moved through today. These pockets of very cold air will allow somewhat warmer air with some moisture to be lifted upward and squeezed out, producing showers of rain and snow on Sunday and Monday. As is typical in setups like this throughout the winter, the western slopes of the mountains will be favored for the heaviest precipitation, as the northwest winds guided up the mountain slopes produce extra lift. But even the lower elevations, such as the base of the Roanoke Valley, may see at least some flakes flying through the air by late Sunday night or early Monday.

It may seem a little weird to have snow this late in the season, but really, it's not an extremely unusual event. In fact, we had snow showers in mid-April just last year, and the highest elevations in our region sometimes see at least some snow into May.

Comments

# 1

[April 13, 2008 9:48 AM]

John M

Kevin,
This morning, Sunday, we are experiencing light snow flurries already in the Indian Valley area, close to Indian Valley Elementary School. It started about 9am. Temperature is at 38 degrees and holding steady.

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Kevin Myatt works on the copy desk for The Roanoke Times and is its principal weather geek, writing a weekly weather column and advising the newsroom on weather topics. He helps guide students on a storm chasing trip to the central U.S. each May and was an editor for "Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States."

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