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Weather Journal

with Kevin Myatt

Potential winter storm looking wide right this time

After an entire season of nearly every potential winter storm going wide left -- west of us, that is -- the Sunday-Monday low is looking to go wide right -- off the coast. For signficant snow to occur in late March or April, conditions usually have to be almost textbook perfect ... dense cold air forced southward by strong high pressure in Canada, a lot of moisture falling through that cold air, and a favorable time of day away from the most intense sunlight helps. This one is probably going to fall well short on the moisture end with the low heading off the coast. Some light snow or rain is possible Monday, but barring an unexpected shift in the pattern, probably no late-March snowstorm.

Comments

# 1

[March 21, 2008 11:44 AM]

Other John
I'm not surprised. This winter, like last year, was terribly disappointing. I'm hoping we get the more usualy winter next year, because with the lack of moisture we've had the past 2 winters, it hasn't helped going into the summer with rainfall deficits. Even with the wet weather, the ground around my house is still extremely dry just a few inches below the surface because we've been about a foot or so low going back to last year. Maybe the overall pattern will break at some point so we can make up some more.
# 2

[March 22, 2008 4:02 PM]

planting in c-burg
Do you know the average frost date around Christiansburg? I've had a terrible time finding anything specific.
# 3

[March 22, 2008 11:18 PM]

Other John
I've typically gone with May 9th. I remember seeing it somewhere, but I can't remember where exactly. The past several years have been fairly true to that date though, with a couple frosts the first week of May, but not afterward. Any time I've wanted to plant sooner than that, we've gotten a frost.
# 4

[March 24, 2008 11:29 PM]

Kevin Myatt
I found an average 1971-2000 last freeze date of May 5 listed for Pulaski using the NOWData feature at this web site: http://www.weather.gov/climate/xmacis.php?wfo=rnk Don't know why Blacksburg or Christiansburg isn't in that list.
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Mug of Kevin Myatt

Kevin Myatt works on the copy desk for The Roanoke Times and is its principal weather geek, writing a weekly weather column and advising the newsroom on weather topics. He helps guide students on a storm chasing trip to the central U.S. each May and was an editor for "Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States."

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