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Weather Journal

with Kevin Myatt

Still some risk of a bigger snow

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The latest heavy snow map from the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center -- the government forecasters in Washington who forecast precipitation patterns -- still has our area in a slight risk of 4-plus inches of snow for Thursday, with a little stripe of moderate risk down toward Martinsville. I didn't show or link the map here, but the ice threat is now shoved down into North Carolina.

The developing system is producing scattered precipitation across the middle United States tonight, including snow streaking across Missouri and Arkansas into Tennessee (national radar linked here). It's a little patchy now, and this system may end up being a series of blobs of precipitation rather than one solid area. Don't be surprised to see a letup during the afternoon on Thursday, only to have precipitation restart later in the day.

This does not look like what you would call a "big storm" but I wouldn't be surprised to see some local area get 6 inches if they get in a heavier band of snow for a while. Predicting where these heavier bands will set up is next to impossible before they develop on radar. We're at least 12 hours away from that. I still like a widespread 2-4-inch snow forecast for the area on Thursday, just a bit more than the weather service's 1-3-inch call.


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Kevin Myatt works on the copy desk for The Roanoke Times and is its principal weather geek, writing a weekly weather column and advising the newsroom on weather topics. He helps guide students on a storm chasing trip to the central U.S. each May and was an editor for "Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States."

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